Blue Bombers vs. Roughriders Match Preview & Betting Odds 2018/19

Spread: Roughriders by 2.5 Over/Under: 52.5 Money line: Blue Bombers +118; Roughriders -132

The winning formula for the Roughriders is pretty simple. On offence, they want to run the ball well and control the clock while passing when they need to. But on defence, it is a lot more cut and dry. They just want to shut you down. During the regular season, they had the second-best run defence and the best pass defence.

However, when it comes to the most important defensive stat—points allowed – they rank only fourth with 24.7 points per game allowed.

For the Blue Bombers, the winning formula during the five-game winning streak that got them into the playoffs was solid overall defence and the good, efficient play of pivot Matt Nichols. During the streak, they recorded one shutout, nearly had another (30-3 win over Edmonton), and only gave up 30+ once (a game in which they score 40).

As for Nichols, with only seven touchdowns in five games you could say he didn’t do much. But he didn’t make many mistakes either (just one interception).

The Roughriders have the better defence of the two, but Winnipeg allowed the second-fewest points per game during the regular season (23.3). So, they aren’t half-bad either.

But then who has the edge?

The winner of this one is going to be whoever comes out ahead in the turnover battle. Winnipeg tied with Calgary for the most forced turnovers this season (49) and the best turnover ratio (+13). They led the league with 151 points off turnovers as well.

Look for a score off a turnover to be what decides the game with Winnipeg coming out on top straight up and against the spread. With the importance that defence is going to play in this one, you are better off taking the under.