Trump Impeachment Odds increase after Don Jr Email Release
July 12, 2017
The most current news relates to former National Security Advisor, Michael Flynn, who is apparently refusing to have any legal contact with Trump’s lawyers. This is a new development and there are people in the media that believe this action is being taken because Flynn is preparing to spill the beans on Trump and his ties to Russia. Robert Mueller’s investigation could pretty much become a slam dunk if a former National Security Advisor with direct ties to Mike Pence is able to give solid intelligence on the President’s less than legitimate actions.
With this news, the online sportsbooks, such as Bet365, have sharpened their odds on the market. Prior to this update the odds on Donald Trump being impeached were set at 1.80. Now they sit at just 1.57.
We witnessed a political shocker this week with the release of Donald Trump Jr.’s emails on twitter yesterday. Word on the street was the NY Times and Washington Post were holding on to a big Russia story, but nobody quite knew how incriminating it actually was going to be. After they contacted Donald Trump Jr. to confirm the existence of the emails, he decided to get ahead of them and simply release them himself on Twitter Tuesday morning.
Things are not looking good for the Trump White House. There are many reports of infighting at the moment and many believe its a strong possibility that Michael Flynn and Paul Manafort may have been flipped by the FBI and now are talking. This email release could be causing chaos within the Trump team and could cause some individuals to start scurrying for plea deals if major collusion did take place.
Bet365 Trump Impeachment Payout Odds more Likely after July 11th
We have been tracking the Donald Trump Impeachment odds from Bet365 for some time now and noticed some big drops in a few markets as seen below. The payouts are less on these bets by up over 30% which shows money is starting to pour in on the likely hood of impeachment or resignation.
Trump to Resign his presidency: Previous 2.10 – New Odds 1.83
Trump to be Impeached by the House First Term: Previous 1.80 – New Odds 1.57
Trump to be Convicted by the Senate: Yes Previous 6.00 – New Odds 4.50
25th Amendment to be Invoked First Term: Previous 3.75 – New Odds 3.40
Congress to Decide Against Trump under 25th Amendment First Term: Previous Odds 6.00 – New Odds 4.50